افاق للعلوم
Volume 3, Numéro 3, Pages 193-202
2018-06-09
التنبؤ والنبوءة في العلوم الاجتماعية
الكاتب : جمال الدين بن سليمان .
الملخص
Karl Popper (1902-1994) is one of the most important philosophers of science during the last two centuries. He is best known for his philosophy of natural sciences, especially his critical rationalism and his falsification epistemology. which by he has left a mark on the history of philosophy of science as well in the history of science and scientific practice. He influenced many scientists and philosophers. His philosophy of social sciences has not received enough from academics compared to his reputation recently, but beyond the academic frontiers he have been much fortunate to be attractive and more discussion to his works, perhaps because it is more realistic and practical. In his article, "Prediction and Prophecy in the Social Sciences," in his book "Conjectures and Refutations", which is a collection of important articles and lectures for Popper, published in 1963. The book considered as the outcome of fifteen years of effort, it is one of the most popular popperian works, not only for its ideas and the acute insights it contains about the way scientific knowledge grows, the procedures of the scientific method and its critical rationalism philosophy, but also for the application of those ideas in politics and society. It provides an introduction to the epistemological foundations that guided Popper's work, not only our knowledge, but our goals and standards, grows through an endless process of trial and error. In this article, Popper discusses the methodology of social sciences, that its task is to propound historical prophecies. Which in the popperian parlance is called “Historicism”, which he regards as the remains and residues of an old superstition. His analysis of the role of prediction and prophecy can be regarded as criticism of the historical method of Marxism, without confining it to that economic variant of historicism which is known as Marxism, it aims at criticizing the historicist doctrine in general, as well a number of philosophies of history; a certain historical method which has been believed to be valid by many philosophers, ancient and modern, whose political views were very different from those of Marx.
الكلمات المفتاحية
كارل بوبر، فلسفة العلوم الاجمتماعية، التنبؤ، التفسير
مقالات مماثلة
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عاشور بدار
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ص 201-228.
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بوسكرة عمر
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ص 723-737.
